New Tornado Watch, Replacing Existing Watch, In Effect Until 2am

Removes counties in AL basically east of I-65…

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 25
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
725 PM CST WED MAR 10 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 725 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CST.

TORNADOES…HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MONTICELLO
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 21…WW 22…WW 23…WW
24…

DISCUSSION…ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS
OF WESTERN AL AND EASTERN MS…ALONG AND NORTH OF WEAK SURFACE
BOUNDARY. THESE STORMS WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS WHILE NEW
SEVERE ACTIVITY SPREADS INTO WATCH AREA FROM THE WEST. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION…WITH SUFFICIENT
LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR FOR A RISK OF SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES OVERNIGHT.

Updated Watch until 2am.

ww0021_overview_wou

New Tornado Watch Until 2 AM.

ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

     BIBB                 CHOCTAW             CLARKE
     DALLAS               GREENE              HALE
     MARENGO              MONROE              PERRY
     PICKENS              SUMTER              TUSCALOOSA
     WASHINGTON           WILCOX              

https://nwschat.weather.gov/watch.php?year=2010&num=25

A Few Rainfall Reports

Rainfall has been extensive across central and south Alabama in the last 24-36 hours and there’s much more rain on the way.  In fact some areas could easily add 1-3 more inches on top of what we’ve had already.  Here are a few reports from our WSFA Weather Watchers as of 5:30 pm:

Wetumpka 1.77

Selma 2.00

Alex City 2.65

Dadeville 2.40

Auburn 2.50

Banks 1.50

East Montgomery 1.60

Prattville 1.60

Troy 2.05

Another Watch May be Necessary

THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL AND ISOLD TORNADOES CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS
OF MS/AL. A WW MAY BE NEEDED WEST OF THE CURRENT WATCH AS CONVECTION
GRADUALLY DEVELOPS UPSTREAM.
   

AS OF 23Z…A BAROCLINIC ZONE EXISTS FROM SERN AL NEAR DOTHAN WNWWD
INTO MERIDIAN MS…THEN THROUGH GREENWOOD MS. AN INCREASE IN
CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS STRONGER
FORCING…NOTED ON WV IMAGERY NEAR TEXARKANA…CONTINUES EWD.

AS THE LOW LEVEL JET BEGINS TO DEVELOP IN RESPONSE…SLOW NWD MOVEMENT OF
THE AFOREMENTIONED BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED…WITH THE
STRONGEST ACTIVITY LIKELY ALONG IT. AREAS TO THE W OF THE CURRENT
mcd0170WW…PRIMARILY NRN/CNTRL MS…NERN LA…AND SERN AR…ARE BEING
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH.

New Watch Likely

VALID 102113Z - 102245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 20
CONTINUES.

THE SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THE CNTRL PART OF WW 20 IS EXPECTED TO
EXPAND IN COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE MORE INTENSE CELLS
SHOULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE AN
ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AND SHOULD INCREASE IN
AREAS EAST OF WW 20 WHERE A NEW WW WILL BE NEEDED SOON.

STRONG MOISTURE ADVECTION HAS TAKEN PLACE TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY WITH SFC DEWPOINTS NOW APPROACHING 60 F FROM
THE BOOTHILL OF MO SWD TO NERN LA ALONG THE MS RIVER. DUE TO THE
INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND SFC HEATING...A LARGE AREA OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS NOW PRESENT ACROSS ERN AR AND NRN LA WHERE
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 100O TO 1500 J/KG
RANGE. THE STORMS CURRENTLY NEAR TEXARKANA SHOULD CONTINUE TO
INCREASE IN INTENSITY MOVING EWD INTO MORE INSTABILITY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. THE LATEST WSR-88D VWP NEAR FT SMITH SHOWS 0-6 KM SHEAR
OF 60 KT SUGGESTING THE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE ALSO VERY STEEP WHICH WILL
MAKE LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ANY ROTATING STORMS. THE TORNADO THREAT
SHOULD INITIALLY BE ISOLATED BUT MAY INCREASE AS A LOW-LEVEL JET
ORGANIZES ACROSS THE MID-MS VALLEY IN THE 00Z TO 03 TIMEFRAME.

Dangerous Flooding Ongoing…

We are getting numerous reports of serious flooding situations in the area, mostly centered in Talladega and Shelby Co’s. Roads are reported to be impassable in Talladega itself, water is covering several roadways in northern Shelby Co between Pelham and Chelsea. A water rescue, at last report, was underway in Helena with a person stuck in a drainage area with water to their neck.

This is a VERY dangerous situation. Travel is discouraged this afternoon and evening, especially in Talladega and Shelby Counties. If you see water of unknown depth, do not attempt to drive through it. Stay away, and make sure children stay away, from all drainage areas, streams, and creeks.

Jason Kelley
Fox 6 Meteorologist

Tornado Watch Issued, As Expected, For West and Central AL.

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 21
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM CST WED MAR 10 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.

TORNADOES…HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH OF MONTGOMERY
ALABAMA TO 55 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 19…WW 20…

DISCUSSION…THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA IN
RESPONSE TO SURFACE HEATING AND INCREASING INSTABILITY. VEERING
SHEAR PROFILES…PARTICULARLY VICINITY WNW/ESE THERMAL BOUNDARY
FROM CENTRAL MS TO CENTRAL AL ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DRY AIR AS NOTED ON
18Z JAN SOUNDING ARE VERY FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL. ALSO TORNADOS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT FORMS.

AVIATION…TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.

…HALES

Tornado Watch Issued…

includes most of our area west of I-65…runs until 8pm.  See below for details…

WW0021 Radar

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Moderate
Severe Hail 2″+ Hail
Moderate Moderate

Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   SEL1

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 21
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   105 PM CST WED MAR 10 2010

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

          PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
          PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI

   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL
   800 PM CST.

   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.

   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH OF MONTGOMERY
   ALABAMA TO 55 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI.  FOR
   A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 19...WW 20...

   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA IN
   RESPONSE TO SURFACE HEATING AND INCREASING INSTABILITY.  VEERING
   SHEAR PROFILES...PARTICULARLY VICINITY WNW/ESE THERMAL BOUNDARY
   FROM CENTRAL MS TO CENTRAL AL ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL
   DEVELOPMENT.  STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DRY AIR AS NOTED ON
   18Z JAN SOUNDING ARE VERY FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL.  ALSO TORNADOS
   WILL  BE POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT FORMS.

   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.


					

					
				

Tornado Watch Likely for West Alabama Shortly…

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0166
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 PM CST WED MAR 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED…CNTRL/SRN MS…W-CNTRL/SRN AL

CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 101821Z – 101945Z

THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON WITH A TORNADO WATCH LIKELY BECOMING NEEDED.

LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION HAS SHOWN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE/INTENSITY ACROSS SERN MS/SWRN AL NWWD INTO CNTRL MS.
CONTINUED DIURNAL HEATING WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE
MIDDLE 70S AND FURTHER DESTABILIZATION SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. WITH REGION LYING
ON THE ERN FRINGE OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES /PER UPSTREAM
MORNING RAOBS AND LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS/…SEVERE HAIL WOULD
LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. HOWEVER…30-35 KT SWLY FLOW AT 1 KM
AGL /PER REGIONAL VWP DATA/ WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR LOW-LEVEL STORM
ROTATION…AND SHOULD BE AUGMENTED BE AMBIENT SHEAR ALONG BAROCLINIC
BOUNDARY LYING ROUGHLY FROM AROUND 40 SW CBM TO NEAR MGM AS OF 18Z.
GIVEN THE RICHNESS OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WITH MEAN MIXING
RATIOS AROUND 12-13 G/KG /REF 18Z LIX RAOB/…ISOLATED TORNADOES
APPEAR PROBABLE.